In 1894, A French Writer Predicted the End of Books & the Rise of Portable Audiobooks and Podcasts

The end of the nine­teenth cen­tu­ry is still wide­ly referred to as the fin de siè­cle, a French term that evokes great, loom­ing cul­tur­al, social, and tech­no­log­i­cal changes. Accord­ing to at least one French mind active at the time, among those changes would be a fin des livres as human­i­ty then knew them. “I do not believe (and the progress of elec­tric­i­ty and mod­ern mech­a­nism for­bids me to believe) that Guten­berg’s inven­tion can do oth­er­wise than soon­er or lat­er fall into desue­tude,” says the char­ac­ter at the cen­ter of the 1894 sto­ry “The End of Books.” “Print­ing, which since 1436 has reigned despot­i­cal­ly over the mind of man, is, in my opin­ion, threat­ened with death by the var­i­ous devices for reg­is­ter­ing sound which have late­ly been invent­ed, and which lit­tle by lit­tle will go on to per­fec­tion.”

First pub­lished in an issue of Scrib­n­er’s Mag­a­zine (view­able at the Inter­net Archive or this web page), “The End of Books” relates a con­ver­sa­tion among a group of men belong­ing to var­i­ous dis­ci­plines, all of them fired up to spec­u­late on the future after hear­ing it pro­claimed at Lon­don’s Roy­al Insti­tute that the end of the world was “math­e­mat­i­cal­ly cer­tain to occur in pre­cise­ly ten mil­lion years.” The par­tic­i­pant fore­telling the end of books is, some­what iron­i­cal­ly, called the Bib­lio­phile; but then, the sto­ry’s author Octave Uzanne was famous for just such enthu­si­asms him­self. Believ­ing that “the suc­cess of every­thing which will favor and encour­age the indo­lence and self­ish­ness of men,” the Bib­lio­phile asserts that sound record­ing will put an end to print just as “the ele­va­tor has done away with the toil­some climb­ing of stairs.”

These 130 or so years lat­er, any­one who’s been to Paris knows that the ele­va­tor has yet to fin­ish that job, but much of what the Bib­lio­phile pre­dicts has indeed come true in the form of audio­books. “Cer­tain Nar­ra­tors will be sought out for their fine address, their con­ta­gious sym­pa­thy, their thrilling warmth, and the per­fect accu­ra­cy, the fine punc­tu­a­tion of their voice,” he says. “Authors who are not sen­si­tive to vocal har­monies, or who lack the flex­i­bil­i­ty of voice nec­es­sary to a fine utter­ance, will avail them­selves of the ser­vices of hired actors or singers to ware­house their work in the accom­mo­dat­ing cylin­der.” We may no longer use cylin­ders, but Uzan­ne’s descrip­tion of a “pock­et appa­ra­tus” that can be “kept in a sim­ple opera-glass case” will sure­ly remind us of the Walk­man, the iPod, or any oth­er portable audio device we’ve used.

All this should also bring to mind anoth­er twen­ty-first cen­tu­ry phe­nom­e­non: pod­casts. “At home, walk­ing, sight­see­ing,” says the Bib­lio­phile, “for­tu­nate hear­ers will expe­ri­ence the inef­fa­ble delight of rec­on­cil­ing hygiene with instruc­tion; of nour­ish­ing their minds while exer­cis­ing their mus­cles.” This will also trans­form jour­nal­ism, for “in all news­pa­per offices there will be Speak­ing Halls where the edi­tors will record in a clear voice the news received by tele­phon­ic despatch.” But how to sat­is­fy man’s addic­tion to the image, well in evi­dence even then? “Upon large white screens in our own homes,” a “kine­to­graph” (which we today would call a tele­vi­sion) will project scenes fic­tion­al and fac­tu­al involv­ing “famous men, crim­i­nals, beau­ti­ful women. It will not be art, it is true, but at least it will be life.” Yet how­ev­er strik­ing his pre­science in oth­er respects, the Bib­lio­phile did­n’t know – though Uzanne may have — that books would per­sist through it all.

via the Pub­lic Domain Review

Relat­ed con­tent:

1,000 Free Audio Books: Down­load Great Books for Free

How the Year 2440 Was Imag­ined in a 1771 French Sci-Fi Nov­el

In 1922, a Nov­el­ist Pre­dicts What the World Will Look Like in 2022: Wire­less Tele­phones, 8‑Hour Flights to Europe & More

A 1947 French Film Accu­rate­ly Pre­dict­ed Our 21st-Cen­tu­ry Addic­tion to Smart­phones

Mar­shall McLuhan Pre­dicts That Elec­tron­ic Media Will Dis­place the Book & Cre­ate Sweep­ing Changes in Our Every­day Lives (1960)

Based in Seoul, Col­in Marshall writes and broad­casts on cities, lan­guage, and cul­ture. His projects include the Sub­stack newslet­ter Books on Cities and the book The State­less City: a Walk through 21st-Cen­tu­ry Los Ange­les. Fol­low him on the social net­work for­mer­ly known as Twit­ter at @colinmarshall.


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