What the World Will Look Like in 250 Million Years: Mapping the Distant Future

Most of us now accept the idea that all of Earth­’s con­ti­nents were once part of a sin­gle, enor­mous land mass. That was­n’t the case in the ear­ly nine­teen-tens, when the geol­o­gist Alfred Wegen­er (1880–1930) first pub­li­cized his the­o­ry of not just the super­con­ti­nent Pangea, but also of the phe­nom­e­non of con­ti­nen­tal drift that caused it to break apart into the series of shapes we all know from class­room world maps. But as humor­ous­ly explained in the Map Men video above, Wegen­er did­n’t live to see these ideas con­vince the world. Only after his death did oth­er sci­en­tists fig­ure out just how the geo­log­i­cal churn­ing under the plan­et’s sur­face caused the con­ti­nents to drift apart in the first place.

With that infor­ma­tion in place, Pangea no longer seemed like the crack­pot notion it had when Wegen­er ini­tial­ly pro­posed it. Less wide­ly appre­ci­at­ed, even today, is the deter­mi­na­tion that, as the Map Men put it, “Pangea, far from being the orig­i­nal super­con­ti­nent, was actu­al­ly the eleventh to have formed in Earth­’s his­to­ry.”

It seems that the con­ti­nents have been cycli­cal­ly break­ing apart and com­ing togeth­er again, with no sign of the process stop­ping. When, then, will we next find our­selves back on a super­con­ti­nent? Per­haps in 250 mil­lion years or so, accord­ing to the “Novopangea” mod­el explained in the video, which has the Pacif­ic ocean clos­ing up as Aus­tralia slots into East Asia and North Amer­i­ca while Antarc­ti­ca drifts north.


Oth­er mod­els also exist, includ­ing Auri­ca, “where Eura­sia splits in half, and both the Pacif­ic and Atlantic oceans close up”; Pangea Ulti­ma, “where Britain gets clos­er to Amer­i­ca”; and Ama­sia, “where all the con­ti­nents con­gre­gate around the North Pole, except Antarc­ti­ca” (whose drift pat­terns make it seem like “the lazi­est con­ti­nent”). At this kind of time scale, small changes in the basic assump­tions can result in very dif­fer­ent-look­ing super­con­ti­nents indeed, not that any of us will be around to see how the next Pangea real­ly takes shape. Nev­er­the­less, in this age when we can hard­ly go a week with­out encoun­ter­ing pre­dic­tions of human­i­ty’s immi­nent extinc­tion, it’s refresh­ing to find a sub­ject that lets us even con­sid­er look­ing a quar­ter-bil­lion years down the road.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

A Bil­lion Years of Tec­ton­ic-Plate Move­ment in 40 Sec­onds: A Quick Glimpse of How Our World Took Shape

The Plate Tec­ton­ic Evo­lu­tion of the Earth Over 500 Mil­lion Years: Ani­mat­ed Video Takes You from Pangea, to 250 Mil­lion Years in the Future

Map Show­ing Where Today’s Coun­tries Would Be Locat­ed on Pangea

Pangea to the Present to the Future: Watch Ani­ma­tions Show­ing 500 Mil­lion Years of Con­ti­nen­tal Drift

Paper Ani­ma­tion Tells Curi­ous Sto­ry of How a Mete­o­rol­o­gist The­o­rized Pan­gaea & Con­ti­nen­tal Drift (1910)

A Web Site That Lets You Find Your Home Address on Pangea

Based in Seoul, Col­in Marshall writes and broad­casts on cities, lan­guage, and cul­ture. His projects include the Sub­stack newslet­ter Books on Cities and the book The State­less City: a Walk through 21st-Cen­tu­ry Los Ange­les. Fol­low him on the social net­work for­mer­ly known as Twit­ter at @colinmarshall.


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Comments (3)
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  • Norman Connor says:

    Come on you can say what you want like Nos­tradamus. You won’t be around to be proven wrong Ng if you are wrong. It gets monot­o­nous read­ing this rub­bish from sci­en­tists and so called expert’s. Con­sid­er­ing some experts say we have destroyed the plan­et because our Co2 is 0.04% or 400 par­ti­cles per mil­lion. How could your the­o­ry be real because oth­ers who work for gov­ern­ments, solar, wind and tidal com­pa­nies want. What I see here is the oppo­site. And that cli­mate is a move­ment that has hap­pened from the begin­ning and will con­tin­ue to the day a mete­or so big destroys mankind. And then we start again. Not me but those who come next in 250 mil­lion years

  • Ghost_Rider says:

    Well Said Nor­man, it’s BS at best.

    Now where do I get me one of those ‘Out­door heaters?’ /s

  • Ruaim says:

    You sound exact­ly like those you con­demn with your own the­o­ries! 🤣🤣

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