The Power of Pessimism: Science Reveals the Hidden Virtues in Negative Thinking

These days, you don’t real­ly hear many peo­ple mak­ing the case for pes­simism. Quite the con­trary, pos­i­tive psy­chol­o­gy is now en vogue. And its founder, Uni­ver­si­ty of Penn­syl­va­nia psy­chol­o­gy pro­fes­sor Mar­tin Selig­man, has writ­ten best­sellers with titles like Learned Opti­mism: How to Change Your Mind and Your Life. But maybe, as Alain de Bot­ton sug­gests above, there’s an argu­ment to be made for pes­simism – for hav­ing a sober, if not neg­a­tive, out­look on life. And maybe there’s sci­ence that val­i­dates that point of view.

This sec­ond video, cre­at­ed by New York Mag­a­zine, sum­ma­rizes the research of NYU pro­fes­sor Gabriele Oet­tin­gen, attribut­ing to her the belief that “pes­simism can be a bet­ter moti­va­tor for achiev­ing goals than opti­mism,” see­ing that opti­mism tends to lull us into com­pla­cen­cy and slack­en our desire to achieve impor­tant per­son­al goals, like los­ing weight.

Cou­ple that with this: a 2013 study released in Psy­chol­o­gy and Aging, a jour­nal pub­lished by the Amer­i­can Psy­cho­log­i­cal Asso­ci­a­tion (APA), con­clud­ed that “Old­er peo­ple who have low expec­ta­tions for a sat­is­fy­ing future may be more like­ly to live longer, health­i­er lives than those who see brighter days ahead.” The lead author of the study Frieder R. Lang, PhD, added: “Our find­ings revealed that being over­ly opti­mistic in pre­dict­ing a bet­ter future was asso­ci­at­ed with a greater risk of dis­abil­i­ty and death with­in the fol­low­ing decade.” “Pes­simism about the future,” it seems, “may encour­age peo­ple to live more care­ful­ly, tak­ing health and safe­ty pre­cau­tions” that sun­ny opti­mists might not oth­er­wise take.

I should add this caveat: sci­en­tists don’t nec­es­sar­i­ly find virtue in pure, unadul­ter­at­ed pes­simism. Rather, they find ben­e­fits in what they call “defen­sive pes­simism.” This is a strat­e­gy, as sum­ma­rized by The Wall Street Jour­nal, where peo­ple “low­er their expec­ta­tions and think through all the pos­si­ble neg­a­tives that could hap­pen in order to avoid them.” Frieder R. Lang, author of the Psy­chol­o­gy & Aging study men­tioned above, told WSJ, “Those who are defen­sive­ly pes­simistic about their future may be more like­ly to invest in prepara­to­ry or pre­cau­tion­ary mea­sures, where­as we expect that opti­mists will not be think­ing about those things.” Sim­i­lar virtues might be attrib­uted to “defen­sive opti­mism,” but we’ll have to wait and see what the inevitable sci­en­tif­ic stud­ies have to say about that.

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Relat­ed Con­tent:

Free Online Psy­chol­o­gy & Neu­ro­science Cours­es

The Psy­chol­o­gy of Messi­ness & Cre­ativ­i­ty: Research Shows How a Messy Desk and Cre­ative Work Go Hand in Hand

John Cleese Explores the Health Ben­e­fits of Laugh­ter

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What Is Déjà Vu? Michio Kaku Wonders If It’s Triggered by Parallel Universes

I’ve spent the past week on a road trip across Amer­i­ca, and, dur­ing it, expe­ri­enced per­haps my most intense case of déjà vu ever. Rolling into Mem­phis for the first time in my life, I walked into the lob­by of the hotel at which I’d reserved a room for the night and imme­di­ate­ly felt, in every fiber of my being, that I’d walked into that lob­by before. But I then real­ized exact­ly why: it fol­lowed the same floor plan, to the last detail — the same front desk, the same busi­ness cen­ter com­put­ers, the same café with the same chalk­board ask­ing me to “Try Our Clas­sic Oat­meal” — of the one I’d vis­it­ed the pre­vi­ous day in Okla­homa City.

Should we chalk this up to gener­ic Amer­i­can place­mak­ing at its most effi­cient, or can we find a more inter­est­ing psy­cho­log­i­cal phe­nom­e­non at work? Michio Kaku, though best known for his work with physics, has some ideas of his own about what we expe­ri­ence when we expe­ri­ence déjà vu. “There is a the­o­ry,” says Kaku in the Big Think video above,“that déjà vu sim­ply elic­its frag­ments of mem­o­ries that we have stored in our brain, mem­o­ries that can be elicit­ed by mov­ing into an envi­ron­ment that resem­bles some­thing that we’ve already expe­ri­enced.”

But wait! “Is it ever pos­si­ble on any scale,” he then tan­ta­liz­ing­ly asks, “to per­haps flip between dif­fer­ent uni­vers­es?” And does déjà vu tell us any­thing about our posi­tion in those uni­vers­es, giv­ing us signs of the oth­ers even as we reside in just one? Kaku quotes an anal­o­gy first made by physi­cist Steven Wein­berg which frames the notion of a “mul­ti­verse” in terms of our vibrat­ing atoms and the fre­quen­cy of a radio’s sig­nal: “If you’re inside your liv­ing room lis­ten­ing to BBC radio, that radio is tuned to one fre­quen­cy. But in your liv­ing room there are all fre­quen­cies: radio Cuba, radio Moscow, the Top 40 rock sta­tions. All these radio fre­quen­cies are vibrat­ing inside your liv­ing room, but your radio is only tuned to one fre­quen­cy.” And some­times, for what­ev­er rea­son, we hear two sig­nals on our radio at once.

Giv­en that, then, maybe we feel déjà vu when the atoms of which we con­sist “no longer vibrate in uni­son with these oth­er uni­vers­es,” when “we have decou­pled from them, we have deco­hered from them.” It may relieve you to know there won’t be an exam on all this. While Kaku ulti­mate­ly grants that “déjà vu is prob­a­bly sim­ply a frag­ment of our brain elic­it­ing mem­o­ries and frag­ments of pre­vi­ous sit­u­a­tions,” you may get a kick out of putting his mul­ti­verse idea in con­text with some more tra­di­tion­al expla­na­tions, such as the ones writ­ten about in venues no less depend­able than Sci­en­tif­ic Amer­i­can and Smith­son­ian. But in any case, I beg you, Mar­riott Court­yard hotels: change up your designs once in a while.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

Philip K. Dick The­o­rizes The Matrix in 1977, Declares That We Live in “A Com­put­er-Pro­grammed Real­i­ty”

Free Online Physics Cours­es

Michio Kaku Explains the Physics Behind Absolute­ly Every­thing

Michio Kaku: We’re Born Sci­en­tists But Switch to Invest­ment Bank­ing (and More Cul­ture Around the Web)

Michio Kaku Schools a Moon Land­ing-Con­spir­a­cy Believ­er on His Sci­ence Fan­tas­tic Pod­cast

Col­in Mar­shall writes else­where on cities, lan­guage, Asia, and men’s style. He’s at work on a book about Los Ange­les, A Los Ange­les Primer, the video series The City in Cin­e­maand the crowd­fund­ed jour­nal­ism project Where Is the City of the Future? Fol­low him on Twit­ter at @colinmarshall or on Face­book.

A Short, Powerful Animation on Addiction: Watch Andreas Hykade’s Nuggets

From Andreas Hykade, the Direc­tor of the Ani­ma­tion and Visu­al Effects pro­gram at Germany’s Fil­makademie Baden-Würt­tem­berg, comes a short ani­mat­ed film called Nuggets. Things start off innocu­ous­ly, with a kiwi tak­ing a casu­al stroll down a road, even­tu­al­ly encoun­ter­ing and tast­ing some gold­en nuggets. The nuggets are deli­cious, it turns out, too deli­cious to resist. Then [spoil­er alert!] things take a dark turn, as we watch our friend­ly kiwi sink into addic­tion and despair. In an inter­view con­duct­ed by the Ani­ma­tion World Net­work, Hykade says that he cre­at­ed the film for young teenagers who might be tempt­ed one day (pre­sum­ably by drugs). And when that day comes, he hopes they’ll think about Nuggets and its strik­ing, stripped-down mes­sage about addic­tion and the life it brings.

You can watch more ani­ma­tions by Hykade on his web site. And find more thought-pro­vok­ing Ani­ma­tions in our col­lec­tion, 4,000+ Free Movies Online: Great Clas­sics, Indies, Noir, West­erns, Doc­u­men­taries & More.

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via io9

Relat­ed Con­tent:

The Cof­fee Pot That Fueled Hon­oré de Balzac’s Cof­fee Addic­tion

Bela Lugosi Dis­cuss­es His Drug Habit as He Leaves the Hos­pi­tal in 1955

How a Young Sig­mund Freud Researched & Got Addict­ed to Cocaine, the New “Mir­a­cle Drug,” in 1894

Free Online Psy­chol­o­gy Cours­es

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How Sybil Turned Multiple Personality Disorder into a Psychological Phenomenon in America

In 1973, the book Sybil about a young woman strug­gling with 16 dis­tinct per­son­al­i­ties — became a cul­tur­al sen­sa­tion, spawn­ing a huge­ly suc­cess­ful made-for-TV movie in 1976 and an utter­ly unnec­es­sary remake in 2007.

The con­di­tion of mul­ti­ple per­son­al­i­ty dis­or­der (MPD) was so exot­ic and strange that it soon became fod­der for day­time talk shows like Jer­ry Springer and campy sto­ry­lines in soap operas. But the case and the con­tro­ver­sial treat­ment pre­scribed by Sybil’s doc­tor Cor­nelia Wilbur had long-term and seri­ous impli­ca­tions for health­care in this coun­try. Above, you can watch a video by the New York Times that lays out much of the con­tro­ver­sy.

MPD was first diag­nosed in the ear­ly 1950s with a patient named Eve White (above) who seemed to have three per­son­al­i­ties. When Wilbur found that one of her own patients, a trou­bled grad­u­ate stu­dent named Shirley Mason (lat­er known to the world as “Sybil”) exhib­it­ed some of the same symp­toms as Eve, she start­ed an aggres­sive ther­a­py that includ­ed hyp­no­sis and the use of sodi­um thiopen­tal, truth serum. Wilbur sus­pect­ed that Mason’s prob­lems were the result of some child­hood trau­ma and her ther­a­py aimed at uncov­er­ing them.

Under Wilbur’s care, Mason revealed a host of dif­fer­ent per­son­al­i­ties from the assertive Peg­gy, to the emo­tion­al Mar­cia, to Mike, who was not only male but also a car­pen­ter. Through the voice of each per­son­al­i­ty, Wilbur also uncov­ered what she believed to be ter­ri­fy­ing accounts of child­hood rape and abuse.

But as Mason wrote in a 1958 let­ter to Wilbur, the abuse and the mul­ti­ple dis­or­ders were lies. “I am not going to tell you there isn’t any­thing wrong,” Mason writes. “But it is not what I have led you to believe.… I do not have any mul­ti­ple per­son­al­i­ties .… I do not even have a ‘dou­ble.’ … I am all of them. I have been essen­tial­ly lying.”

Wilbur dis­missed Mason’s claims as an excuse to avoid going deep­er in her treat­ment.

The pop­u­lar­i­ty of Sybil’s sto­ry soon turned what was pre­vi­ous­ly a very rare con­di­tion into a trendy psy­cho­log­i­cal dis­or­der. The video details the case of Jeanette Bartha who states, “I came in for depres­sion and I left with mul­ti­ple per­son­al­i­ties.” Under treat­ment with hyp­not­ic drugs, Bartha start­ed to believe not only that she had MPD but also her par­ents abused her as a part of a satan­ic cult. Years lat­er, Bartha real­ized to her grief and hor­ror that these mem­o­ries were false.

Sub­se­quent research has thor­ough­ly debunked the valid­i­ty of Wilbur’s meth­ods and even her diag­no­sis. MPD has been replaced with the broad­er, and less pulpy sound­ing, dis­so­cia­tive-iden­ti­ty dis­or­der.

“The prob­lem is frag­men­ta­tion of iden­ti­ty, not that you real­ly are 12 peo­ple,” says Dr. David Siegel, a crit­ic of Wilbur. “You have not more than one but less than one per­son­al­i­ty.”

via Men­tal Floss

Relat­ed Con­tent:

Free Online Psy­chol­o­gy Cours­es

The Pow­er of Empa­thy: A Quick Ani­mat­ed Les­son That Can Make You a Bet­ter Per­son

Carl Gus­tav Jung Explains His Ground­break­ing The­o­ries About Psy­chol­o­gy in Rare Inter­view (1957)

Jacques Lacan’s Con­fronta­tion with a Young Rebel: Clas­sic Moment, 1972

Jonathan Crow is a Los Ange­les-based writer and film­mak­er whose work has appeared in Yahoo!, The Hol­ly­wood Reporter, and oth­er pub­li­ca­tions. You can fol­low him at @jonccrow. And check out his blog Veep­to­pus, fea­tur­ing lots of pic­tures of bad­gers and even more pic­tures of vice pres­i­dents with octo­pus­es on their heads.  The Veep­to­pus store is here.

Albert Einstein​ & Sigmund Freud​ Exchange Letters and Debate How to Make the World Free from War (1932)

einstein freud

The prob­lem of vio­lence, per­haps the true root of all social ills, seems irre­solv­able. Yet, as most thought­ful peo­ple have real­ized after the wars of the twen­ti­eth cen­tu­ry, the dan­gers human aggres­sion pose have only increased expo­nen­tial­ly along with glob­al­iza­tion and tech­no­log­i­cal devel­op­ment. And as Albert Ein­stein rec­og­nized after the nuclear attacks on Hiroshi­ma and Nagasaki—which he part­ly helped to engi­neer with the Man­hat­tan Project—the aggres­sive poten­tial of nations in war had reached mass sui­ci­dal lev­els.

After Einstein’s involve­ment in the cre­ation of the atom­ic bomb, he spent his life “work­ing for dis­ar­ma­ment and glob­al gov­ern­ment,” writes psy­chol­o­gist Mark Lei­th, “anguished by his impos­si­ble, Faus­t­ian deci­sion.” Yet, as we dis­cov­er in let­ters Ein­stein wrote to Sig­mund Freud in 1932, he had been advo­cat­ing for a glob­al solu­tion to war long before the start of World War II. Ein­stein and Freud’s cor­re­spon­dence took place under the aus­pices of the League of Nation’s new­ly-formed Inter­na­tion­al Insti­tute of Intel­lec­tu­al Coop­er­a­tion, cre­at­ed to fos­ter dis­cus­sion between promi­nent pub­lic thinkers. Ein­stein enthu­si­as­ti­cal­ly chose Freud as his inter­locu­tor.

In his first let­ter to the psy­chol­o­gist, he writes, “This is the prob­lem: Is there any way of deliv­er­ing mankind from the men­ace of war?” Well before the atom­ic age, Ein­stein alleges the urgency of the ques­tion is a mat­ter of “com­mon knowledge”—that “with the advance of mod­ern sci­ence, this issue has come to mean a mat­ter of life and death for Civ­i­liza­tion as we know it.”

Ein­stein reveals him­self as a sort of Pla­ton­ist in pol­i­tics, endors­ing The Repub­lic’s vision of rule by elite philoso­pher-kings. But unlike Socrates in that work, the physi­cist pro­pos­es not city-states, but an entire world gov­ern­ment of intel­lec­tu­al elites, who hold sway over both reli­gious lead­ers and the League of Nations. The con­se­quence of such a poli­ty, he writes, would be world peace—the price, like­ly, far too high for any world leader to pay:

The quest of inter­na­tion­al secu­ri­ty involves the uncon­di­tion­al sur­ren­der by every nation, in a cer­tain mea­sure, of its lib­er­ty of action—its sov­er­eign­ty that is to say—and it is clear beyond all doubt that no oth­er road can lead to such secu­ri­ty.

Ein­stein express­es his pro­pos­al in some sin­is­ter-sound­ing terms, ask­ing how it might be pos­si­ble for a “small clique to bend the will of the major­i­ty.” His final ques­tion to Freud: “Is it pos­si­ble to con­trol man’s men­tal evo­lu­tion so as to make him proof against the psy­chosis of hate and destruc­tive­ness?”

Freud’s response to Ein­stein, dat­ed Sep­tem­ber, 1932, sets up a fas­ci­nat­ing dialec­tic between the physicist’s per­haps dan­ger­ous­ly naïve opti­mism and the psychologist’s unsen­ti­men­tal appraisal of the human sit­u­a­tion. Freud’s mode of analy­sis tends toward what we would now call evo­lu­tion­ary psy­chol­o­gy, or what he calls a “’mythol­o­gy’ of the instincts.” He gives a most­ly spec­u­la­tive account of the pre­his­to­ry of human con­flict, in which “a path was traced that led away from vio­lence to law”—itself main­tained by orga­nized vio­lence.

Freud makes explic­it ref­er­ence to ancient sources, writ­ing of the “Pan­hel­lenic con­cep­tion, the Greeks’ aware­ness of supe­ri­or­i­ty over their bar­bar­ian neigh­bors.” This kind of pro­to-nation­al­ism “was strong enough to human­ize the meth­ods of war­fare.” Like the Hel­lenis­tic mod­el, Freud pro­pos­es for indi­vid­u­als a course of human­iza­tion through edu­ca­tion and what he calls “iden­ti­fi­ca­tion” with “what­ev­er leads men to share impor­tant inter­ests,” thus cre­at­ing a “com­mu­ni­ty of feel­ing.” These means, he grants, may lead to peace. “From our ‘mythol­o­gy’ of the instincts,” he writes, “we may eas­i­ly deduce a for­mu­la for an indi­rect method of elim­i­nat­ing war.”

And yet, Freud con­cludes with ambiva­lence and a great deal of skep­ti­cism about the elim­i­na­tion of vio­lent instincts and war. He con­trasts ancient Greek pol­i­tics with “the Bol­she­vist con­cep­tions” that pro­pose a future end of war and which are like­ly “under present con­di­tions, doomed to fail.” Refer­ring to his the­o­ry of the com­pet­ing bina­ry instincts he calls Eros and Thanatos—roughly love (or lust) and death drives—Freud arrives at what he calls a plau­si­ble “mythol­o­gy” of human exis­tence:

The upshot of these obser­va­tions, as bear­ing on the sub­ject in hand, is that there is no like­li­hood of our being able to sup­press human­i­ty’s aggres­sive ten­den­cies. In some hap­py cor­ners of the earth, they say, where nature brings forth abun­dant­ly what­ev­er man desires, there flour­ish races whose lives go gen­tly by; unknow­ing of aggres­sion or con­straint. This I can hard­ly cred­it; I would like fur­ther details about these hap­py folk.

Nonethe­less, he says weari­ly and with more than a hint of res­ig­na­tion, “per­haps our hope” that war will end in the near future, “is not chimeri­cal.” Freud’s let­ter offers no easy answers, and shies away from the kinds of ide­al­is­tic polit­i­cal cer­tain­ties of Ein­stein. For this, the physi­cist expressed grat­i­tude, call­ing Freud’s lengthy response “a tru­ly clas­sic reply…. We can­not know what may grow from such seed.”

This exchange of let­ters, con­tends Hum­boldt State Uni­ver­si­ty phi­los­o­phy pro­fes­sor John Pow­ell, “has nev­er been giv­en the atten­tion it deserves.… By the time the exchange between Ein­stein and Freud was pub­lished in 1933 under the title Why War?, Hitler, who was to dri­ve both men into exile, was already in pow­er, and the let­ters nev­er achieved the wide cir­cu­la­tion intend­ed for them.” Their cor­re­spon­dence is now no less rel­e­vant, and the ques­tions they address no less urgent and vex­ing. You can read the com­plete exchange at pro­fes­sor Powell’s site here.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

Albert Ein­stein Reads ‘The Com­mon Lan­guage of Sci­ence’ (1941)

Lis­ten as Albert Ein­stein Calls for Peace and Social Jus­tice in 1945

The Famous Let­ter Where Freud Breaks His Rela­tion­ship with Jung (1913)

Sig­mund Freud Appears in Rare, Sur­viv­ing Video & Audio Record­ed Dur­ing the 1930s

Josh Jones is a writer and musi­cian based in Durham, NC. Fol­low him at @jdmagness

Carl Jung’s Hand-Drawn, Rarely-Seen Manuscript The Red Book

Despite his one­time friend and men­tor Sig­mund Freud’s enor­mous impact on West­ern self-under­stand­ing, I would argue it is Carl Jung who is still most with us in our com­mu­nal prac­tices: from his focus on intro­ver­sion and extro­ver­sion to his view of syn­cret­ic, intu­itive forms of spir­i­tu­al­i­ty and his indi­rect influ­ence on 12-Step pro­grams. But Jung’s jour­ney to self-under­stand­ing and what he called “indi­vid­u­a­tion” was an intense­ly pri­vate, per­son­al affair that took place over the course of six­teen years, dur­ing which he cre­at­ed an incred­i­ble, folio-sized work of reli­gious art called The Red Book: Liber Novus. In the video above, you can get a tour through Jung’s pri­vate mas­ter­piece, pre­sent­ed in an intense­ly hushed, breathy style meant to trig­ger the tingly sen­sa­tions of a weird phe­nom­e­non called “ASMR” (recent­ly the sub­ject of a This Amer­i­can Life seg­ment). Giv­en the book’s dis­ori­ent­ing and often dis­turb­ing con­tent, this over-gen­tle guid­ance seems appro­pri­ate.

After his break with Freud in 1913, when he was 38 years old, Jung had what he feared might be a psy­chot­ic break with real­i­ty as well. He began record­ing his dreams, mys­ti­cal visions, and psy­che­del­ic inner voy­ages, in a styl­ized, cal­li­graph­ic style that resem­bles medieval Euro­pean illu­mi­nat­ed man­u­scripts and the occult psy­chic jour­neys of Aleis­ter Crow­ley and William Blake.

Jung had the work bound, but not pub­lished. It’s “a very per­son­al record,” writes Psy­chol­o­gy Today, “of Jung’s com­pli­cat­ed, tor­tu­ous and lengthy quest to sal­vage his soul.” Jung called this process of cre­ation the “numi­nous begin­ning” to his most impor­tant psy­cho­log­i­cal work. After many years spent locked in a bank vault, The Red Book final­ly came to light a few years ago and was trans­lat­ed and pub­lished in an expen­sive edi­tion.

Since its com­ple­tion, Jung’s book—a “holy grail of the uncon­scious”—has fas­ci­nat­ed artists, psy­chol­o­gists, occultists, and ordi­nary peo­ple seek­ing to know their own inner depths. For most of that time, it remained hid­den from view. Now, even if you can’t afford a copy of the book, you can still see more of it than most any­one else could for almost 100 years. In addi­tion to the whis­pered tour of it above, you can see sev­er­al fine­ly illus­trat­ed pages—with sea ser­pents, angels, runes, and mandalas—at The Guardian, and read a short excerpt at NPR.

And for a very thor­ough sur­vey of Jung’s book, lis­ten to the lec­ture series by long­time Jung schol­ar Dr. Lance S. Owens, who deliv­ers one set of talks for lay peo­ple and anoth­er more in-depth set for a group of clin­i­cal psy­chol­o­gists. Above and below, you can hear the first two parts of Owen’s more gen­er­al lec­ture on Jung’s “numi­nous begin­ning,” a book, “unlike any­thing in the mod­ern age; a work com­plete­ly with­out cat­e­go­ry or com­par­i­son.” Vis­it the Gnos­tic Soci­ety Library site to stream and down­load the remain­ing lec­tures.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

The Famous Let­ter Where Freud Breaks His Rela­tion­ship with Jung (1913)

Carl Jung Explains His Ground­break­ing The­o­ries About Psy­chol­o­gy in Rare Inter­view (1957)

Carl Jung’s Fas­ci­nat­ing 1957 Let­ter on UFOs

Josh Jones is a writer and musi­cian based in Durham, NC. Fol­low him at @jdmagness

Jared Diamond Identifies the Real, Unexpected Risks in Our Everyday Life (in a Psychedelic Animated Video)

Jared Dia­mond is a true poly­math. He got his start research­ing how the gall blad­der absorbed salt and then moved on to oth­er fields of study – ornithol­o­gy, anthro­pol­o­gy, lin­guis­tics. His wild­ly diverse inter­ests have giv­en him a unique per­spec­tive of how and why our species evolved. His Pulitzer Prize-win­ning book Germs, Guns and Steel makes a pret­ty con­vinc­ing argu­ment about why Europe — and not Chi­na or South Amer­i­ca — end­ed up dom­i­nat­ing the world. The answer, it turns not, has every­thing to do with geog­ra­phy and lit­tle to do with any kind of cul­tur­al supe­ri­or­i­ty.

Back in 2013, Dia­mond spoke at The Roy­al Insti­tu­tion about how we think of risk in the first world ver­sus those who live in remote New Guinea. The RI has tak­en a por­tion of that hour and a half talk and set it to some glo­ri­ous ani­ma­tion. You can watch it above.

Ear­ly in Diamond’s career, he was in the jun­gle with his New Guinean guides. He found what he thought was a per­fect spot to pitch camp – under a mas­sive dead tree. His guides refused to sleep there, fear­ing that the tree might fall in the mid­dle of the night. He thought that they were being over­ly para­noid until he start­ed see­ing things from their per­spec­tive.

Every night you’re in New Guinea sleep­ing in a for­est, you hear a tree fall some­where and then you go do the num­bers. Sup­pose the risk of that tree falling on me tonight is 1 in 1000. If I sleep under dead trees for 1000 nights, in three years I’m going to be dead. … The New Guinea atti­tude is sen­si­tive to the risks of things you are going to do reg­u­lar­ly. Each time they car­ry a low risk but if you are not cau­tious it will catch up with you.

Dia­mond then extrap­o­lat­ed this real­iza­tion to mod­ern life. He notes that he is 76 years old and will sta­tis­ti­cal­ly speak­ing prob­a­bly live anoth­er 15 or so years. Yet if the risk of tak­ing a fall in the show­er is rough­ly the same as get­ting brained by a dead tree in the jun­gles of New Guinea (1 in 1000), then Dia­mond fig­ures he could kill him­self 5 ½ times over his the course of those 15 years.

“And so I’m care­ful about show­ers,” he says in the full video of the talk. “I’m care­ful about side­walks. I’m care­ful about steplad­ders. It dri­ves many of my Amer­i­can friends crazy but I will sur­vive and they won’t.”

Peo­ple in the first world are ter­ri­fied by the wrong things, Dia­mond argues. The real dan­ger isn’t ter­ror­ism, ser­i­al killers or sharks, which kill a very, very small per­cent­age of peo­ple annu­al­ly. The real risks are those things that we do dai­ly that car­ry a low risk but that even­tu­al­ly catch up with you – dri­ving, tak­ing stairs, using step lad­ders.

You can watch the full inter­view, which is fas­ci­nat­ing, below.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

Jared Dia­mond Explains Haiti’s Endur­ing Pover­ty

The Evo­lu­tion of Reli­gions: A Talk by Jared Dia­mond

“Pro­fes­sor Risk” at Cam­bridge Uni­ver­si­ty Says “One of the Biggest Risks is Being Too Cau­tious”

MIT’s Intro­duc­tion to Pok­er The­o­ry: A Free Online Course

Jonathan Crow is a Los Ange­les-based writer and film­mak­er whose work has appeared in Yahoo!, The Hol­ly­wood Reporter, and oth­er pub­li­ca­tions. You can fol­low him at @jonccrow. And check out his blog Veep­to­pus, fea­tur­ing lots of pic­tures of vice pres­i­dents with octo­pus­es on their heads.  The Veep­to­pus store is here.

Discover The Backwards Brain Bicycle: What Riding a Bike Says About the Neuroplasticity of the Brain

Like most of us, engi­neer Des­tin San­dlin, cre­ator of the edu­ca­tion­al sci­ence web­site Smarter Every Day, learned how to ride a bike as a child. Archival footage from 1987 shows a con­fi­dent, mul­let-haired San­dlin pilot­ing a two-wheel­er like a boss.

Flash for­ward to the present day, when a welder friend threw a major wrench in Sandlin’s cycling game by tweak­ing a bike’s handlebar/front wheel cor­re­spon­dence. Turn the han­dle­bars of the “back­wards bike” to the left, and the wheel goes to the right. Steer right, and the front wheel points left.

San­dlin thought he’d con­quer this beast in a mat­ter of min­utes, but in truth it took him eight months of dai­ly prac­tice to con­quer his brain’s cog­ni­tive bias as to the expect­ed oper­a­tion. This led him to the con­clu­sion that knowl­edge is not the same thing as under­stand­ing.

He knew how to ride a nor­mal bike, but had no real grasp of the com­plex algo­rithm that kept him upright, a simul­ta­ne­ous bal­let of bal­ance, down­ward force, gyro­scop­ic pro­ces­sion, and nav­i­ga­tion.

As he assures fans of his Youtube chan­nel, it’s not a case of the stereo­typ­i­cal unco­or­di­nat­ed sci­ence geek—not only can he jug­gle, when he took the back­wards bike on tour, a glob­al ros­ter of audi­ence vol­un­teers’ brains gave them the exact same trou­ble his had.

Inter­est­ing­ly, his 6‑year-old son, who’d been rid­ing a bike for half his young life, got the hang of the back­wards bike in just two weeks. Children’s brain’s pos­sess much more neu­ro­plas­tic­i­ty than those of adults, whose senior­i­ty means habits and bias­es are that much more ingrained.

It couldn’t have hurt that San­dlin bribed the kid with a trip to Aus­tralia to meet an astro­naut.

Did the ardu­ous­ness of mas­ter­ing the back­wards bike ruin San­dlin for nor­mal­ly con­fig­ured bicy­cles? Watch the video above all the way to the end for an incred­i­ble spon­ta­neous moment of mind over mat­ter.

Relat­ed Con­tent:

The Physics of the Bike

The Mys­te­ri­ous Physics Behind How Bikes Ride by Them­selves

Sci­ence Behind the Bike: Four Videos from the Open Uni­ver­si­ty on the Eve of the Tour de France

The Neu­ro­science of Drum­ming: Researchers Dis­cov­er the Secrets of Drum­ming & The Human Brain

Ayun Hal­l­i­day is an author, illus­tra­tor, and Chief Pri­ma­tol­o­gist of the East Vil­lage Inky zine. Fol­low her @AyunHalliday

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Open Culture was founded by Dan Colman.